The yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since November 29th, at 151.55.Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.Analyst: "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." Chen Xing, chief macro analyst of Caitong Securities, said that this year's economic operation is generally stable, and risks in key areas have been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. Chen Xing believes that the Politburo meeting mentioned "stabilizing the property market and stock market" for the first time, and the core is to stabilize the prices of these two types of assets, namely house prices and stock indexes, which will help to repair the balance sheet of the residential sector, thus boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand.
South Korea's Seoul composite index rose to 2%, and South Korea's KOSDAQ index rose by nearly 4%.Wang Sicong's food company was forcibly held for 148,000 yuan. According to the information of legal proceedings, recently, Shanghai Ai Luo Star Food Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with the execution target of more than 148,000 yuan. The enforcement court is Xian 'an District People's Court of Xianning City. Founded in October 2016, the legal representative is Cheng Hua, with a registered capital of about RMB 18.83 million. Its business scope includes food circulation, food additives, packaging materials, cosmetics, electronic products, daily necessities, clothing, shoes and hats, knitwear, leather products, bags and toys. Wang Sicong holds about 20% of the company's shares and serves as the company's supervisor. Tianyan risk information shows that the company also has information on restricting consumption orders and freezing stock rights.CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.
South Korean opposition leader Li Zaiming said that the budget will be dealt with today.Galaxy Securities: Looking ahead, A-shares are expected to fluctuate upward. china galaxy Securities said that since September 24th, domestic policies have been intensively introduced. The convening of the Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party on December 9 pointed out the important direction for economic work in 2025, and at the same time released a more positive and promising policy signal, and then focused on the statement of the Central Economic Work Conference. With the accelerated implementation of the stock policy and the introduction of a package of incremental policies, the economic fundamentals are expected to show a gradual improvement trend. The policy expectation of "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will help boost investors' confidence and protect the long-term healthy development of the A-share market. Looking forward to the market outlook, A shares are expected to fluctuate upwards.CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13